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⚠ Simulator outputs are scenario-based projections, not forecasts. All results depend on model assumptions. View assumptions · Reproducibility policy

Scenario Templates

Start from a research-grade template, then customise any parameter in the Builder. Templates are derived from real policy documents and RL research outputs.

📊Baseline

Current Trajectory

Turkey's energy mix as of 2024 extrapolated to 2035 with no major policy changes. Serves as the comparison baseline for all other scenarios.

Renewable 2035
38%
Carbon Price
None
Coal Phase-out
2045
Storage
5 GWh
baselinereferenceturkey
Used 1,247× by researchers
🌱Aggressive

Net-Zero 2053 Pathway

Turkey's stated NDC and net-zero commitment pathway. Aggressive renewable ramp, coal phase-out by 2038, strong carbon pricing from 2027.

Renewable 2035
72%
Carbon Price
800 TL/t
Coal Phase-out
2038
Storage
35 GWh
ndcnet-zeroaggressivepolicy
Used 894× by researchers
⚡Aggressive

Accelerated Renewables

Maximum feasible renewable deployment by 2035. Strong storage, smart grid, and demand-side management. Matches PPO RL optimal policy findings.

Renewable 2035
85%
Carbon Price
1200 TL/t
Coal Phase-out
2033
Storage
65 GWh
renewablesoptimalrl-derived
Used 732× by researchers
⚛️Conservative

Nuclear Hybrid

Akkuyu NPP (4.8 GW) combined with moderate renewable build-out. Provides firm baseload while reducing coal dependency.

Renewable 2035
55%
Carbon Price
400 TL/t
Coal Phase-out
2040
Storage
20 GWh
nuclearhybridbaseload
Used 456× by researchers
🇪🇺Policy

EU Carbon Border Adjustment

Simulates impact of EU CBAM forcing rapid decarbonisation of Turkish export industries. High carbon price shock, fast coal phase-out.

Renewable 2035
65%
Carbon Price
1500 TL/t
Coal Phase-out
2034
Storage
40 GWh
cbameutradepolicy-shock
Used 389× by researchers
🐢Conservative

Gradual Transition

Slow and steady path with minimal disruption to existing coal infrastructure. Prioritises energy security over decarbonisation speed.

Renewable 2035
48%
Carbon Price
150 TL/t
Coal Phase-out
2042
Storage
10 GWh
conservativegradualcoal-heavy
Used 278× by researchers
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