⚠ Simulator outputs are scenario-based projections, not forecasts. All results depend on model assumptions. View assumptions · Reproducibility policy
Provenance:Dataset:TEIAS v2025.1Model:TIMES v1.0Run:5 Nov 2026
sig_a417acfad709SeededAccelerated Renewables
Semantic signature: sig_a417acfad709 · Derived from experiment: rl_ppo_20251127_114523
Interpretation Guardrail
These results are scenario-based projections, not forecasts. They reflect model assumptions about technology costs, policy choices, and demand trajectories. Actual outcomes will differ. Always consult the full methodology and assumption registry before drawing policy conclusions.
Scenario Metrics
| Metric | This Scenario | Baseline |
|---|---|---|
| Total System Cost | 404.3 bn TL | 532.4 bn TL |
| Cost Reduction vs Baseline | −30.3% | 0% |
| CO₂ Reduction | −66 Mtpa | 0 Mtpa |
| Renewable Share (actual) | 85% | 45.61% |
| Avg. Electricity Price | 325 TL/MWh | 253 TL/MWh |
| Peak Reserve Margin | 26.5% | 40% |
| Jobs Created | +201k | — |
| Storage Utilization | 72% | 39% |
Feasibility
✅Feasible — Score: 90/100
⚠️ Storage adequacy warning: At 85% renewable share, storage of at least 43 GWh is recommended.
Input Parameters
Renewable Share 2035
85%
Solar Capacity
65 GW
Wind Capacity
48 GW
Carbon Price
1200 TL/tCO₂
Coal Phase-out
2033
Demand Growth
baseline
Efficiency Boost
18%
Grid Flexibility
smart
Battery Storage
65 GWh
Nuclear
Disabled