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⚠ Simulator outputs are scenario-based projections, not forecasts. All results depend on model assumptions. View assumptions · Reproducibility policy
Provenance:Dataset:TEIAS v2025.1Model:TIMES v1.0Run:5 Nov 2026sig_a417acfad709Seeded

Current Trajectory

Semantic signature: sig_a417acfad709

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Interpretation Guardrail

These results are scenario-based projections, not forecasts. They reflect model assumptions about technology costs, policy choices, and demand trajectories. Actual outcomes will differ. Always consult the full methodology and assumption registry before drawing policy conclusions.

Scenario Metrics

MetricThis ScenarioBaseline
Total System Cost540.3 bn TL532.4 bn TL
Cost Reduction vs Baseline−6.8%0%
CO₂ Reduction−20.9 Mtpa0 Mtpa
Renewable Share (actual)38%45.61%
Avg. Electricity Price257 TL/MWh253 TL/MWh
Peak Reserve Margin46.1%40%
Jobs Created+68k—
Storage Utilization32%39%

Feasibility

✅Feasible — Score: 100/100

Input Parameters

Renewable Share 2035
38%
Solar Capacity
18 GW
Wind Capacity
22 GW
Carbon Price
0 TL/tCO₂
Coal Phase-out
2045
Demand Growth
baseline
Efficiency Boost
0%
Grid Flexibility
rigid
Battery Storage
5 GWh
Nuclear
Disabled
🗺 Regional Map⚖ Compare with Baseline↓ Export Results

📎 Cite this — Current Trajectory

Önderol, S. (2025). Scenario run: Current Trajectory. Retrieved from https://renewabletransition.org/simulator/run/preview-current-trajectory
Turkey Energy Transition Simulator | Renewable Transition