Skip to content
RT
⚠ Simulator outputs are scenario-based projections, not forecasts. All results depend on model assumptions. View assumptions · Reproducibility policy
Provenance:Dataset:TEIAS v2025.1Model:TIMES v1.0Run:5 Nov 2026sig_a417acfad709Seeded

Gradual Transition

Semantic signature: sig_a417acfad709

Edit in Builder →

Interpretation Guardrail

These results are scenario-based projections, not forecasts. They reflect model assumptions about technology costs, policy choices, and demand trajectories. Actual outcomes will differ. Always consult the full methodology and assumption registry before drawing policy conclusions.

Scenario Metrics

MetricThis ScenarioBaseline
Total System Cost437.1 bn TL532.4 bn TL
Cost Reduction vs Baseline−11.3%0%
CO₂ Reduction−28.8 Mtpa0 Mtpa
Renewable Share (actual)48%45.61%
Avg. Electricity Price263 TL/MWh253 TL/MWh
Peak Reserve Margin44.6%40%
Jobs Created+92k—
Storage Utilization41%39%

Feasibility

✅Feasible — Score: 100/100

Input Parameters

Renewable Share 2035
48%
Solar Capacity
28 GW
Wind Capacity
26 GW
Carbon Price
150 TL/tCO₂
Coal Phase-out
2042
Demand Growth
low
Efficiency Boost
5%
Grid Flexibility
moderate
Battery Storage
10 GWh
Nuclear
Disabled
🗺 Regional Map⚖ Compare with Baseline↓ Export Results

📎 Cite this — Gradual Transition

Önderol, S. (2025). Scenario run: Gradual Transition. Retrieved from https://renewabletransition.org/simulator/run/preview-gradual-transition
Turkey Energy Transition Simulator | Renewable Transition