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Provenance:Dataset:EPİAŞ v2025.1Model:LSTM v2.1Run:15 Aug 2025forecast_lstm_v2_validat…Seeded

LSTM v2.1 — Run Detail

Seeded Stochastic

Random seed fixed; reproducible on same hardware. Seed: 42. LSTM-v2.1 price spike handling validation. Retrospective 2021–2022 gas crisis test. Identified 40–60% underforecast at peak.

Interpretation Guardrail

These results are scenario-based projections, not forecasts. They reflect model assumptions about technology costs, policy choices, and demand trajectories. Actual outcomes will differ. Always consult the full methodology and assumption registry before drawing policy conclusions.

Frozen Metrics Snapshot

READ-ONLY · Not recomputed
Forecast R²
0.8932
Convergence Score
89 / 100
Validation Stability
99 / 100
Final Training Loss
0.0108
Training Epochs
300
Config Hash
cfghash_lstm…

These values are stored in frozen_metrics_snapshot and written at import time. They are never recalculated from raw artifacts.

Run Metadata

Run ID
forecast_lstm_v2_validation_20250815
Group ID
validation_runs
Source File
lstm_v2_validation_results.json
Content Hash
c33d44e55f667788…
Config Hash
cfghash_lstm_v21_val
Created At
15/08/2025, 10:30:00 UTC
Immutable
✓ Yes (DB enforced)
Dataset Version
EPİAŞ v2025.1

Artifact Manifest (1)

frozen_artifact_manifest · Integrity verified
📈
LSTM-v2.1 validation metrics
artifacts/lstm_v2_validation/metrics.json
metrics_jsonapplication/json8 KBsha256: cc33dd44ee55

Same Group: Validation & Stress Tests

rl_ppo_instability_test_01PPOCost ↓84.5%View →
rl_a3c_highre_20251103A3CCost ↓91.2%View →
rl_dqn_discrete_5lvl_20251127DQNCost ↓97.69%View →

Traceability Chain

📦 Dataset: EPİAŞ v2025.1→🧪 Run: forecast_lstm_v2_validation_20250815→📊 1 Artifacts→📰 Insights

📎 Cite this page

Önderol, S. (2025). Experiment Run: LSTM v2.1 — forecast_lstm_v2_validation_20250815. Retrieved from https://renewabletransition.org/transition/experiments/forecast_lstm_v2_validation_20250815
LSTM — forecast_lstm_v2_validation_20250815 — Experiment | Renewable Transition