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Provenance:Dataset:Turkey Energy v2024Model:ENSM v4.0Run:18 Oct 2025forecast_ensm_v40_202510…Deterministic

ENSM v4.0 — Run Detail

Deterministic

Same inputs → identical outputs every run. ENSM R²=0.9799 (capacity). HNSM: K_max=239.41 GW, α=0.0972, t₀=2024.39, R²=0.9131. 78 DM tests vs 16 benchmarks, all p<0.001. 733 manuscript figures generated.

Interpretation Guardrail

These results are scenario-based projections, not forecasts. They reflect model assumptions about technology costs, policy choices, and demand trajectories. Actual outcomes will differ. Always consult the full methodology and assumption registry before drawing policy conclusions.

Frozen Metrics Snapshot

READ-ONLY · Not recomputed
Cost Reduction
−0%
Convergence Score
99 / 100
Policy Stability
99 / 100
Final Episode Reward
1.0
Final Training Loss
0.0012
Training Steps
500

These values are stored in frozen_metrics_snapshot and written at import time. They are never recalculated from raw artifacts.

Run Metadata

Run ID
forecast_ensm_v40_20251017
Group ID
forecast_ensm_20251017
Source File
comprehensive_results_20251017_231638.json
Content Hash
e5f6789012345678…
Config Hash
cfghash_ensm_v40_001
Created At
17/10/2025, 23:16:38 UTC
Immutable
✓ Yes (DB enforced)
Dataset Version
Turkey Energy v2024

Artifact Manifest (6)

frozen_artifact_manifest · Integrity verified
📊
Model ranking (17 benchmarks)
/research/figures/model_ranking.png
figureimage/png146 KBsha256: 55c6d748
📊
System architecture
/research/figures/graphical_abstract.png
figureimage/png1162 KBsha256: 66d7e859
📊
S-curve parameters
/research/figures/scurve_parameters.png
figureimage/png717 KBsha256: 77e8f96a
📊
Neural network layers
/research/figures/neural_network_layers.png
figureimage/png589 KBsha256: 88f9a07b
📈
Full forecast results
Forecast/outputs/comprehensive_results_20251017_231638.json
metrics_jsonapplication/json168 KBsha256: 99a0b18c
⚙️
Model config
Forecast/outputs/04_Raw_Data/feature_columns_20251017_231638.json
configapplication/json12 KBsha256: aab1c29d

Traceability Chain

📦 Dataset: Turkey Energy v2024→🧪 Run: forecast_ensm_v40_20251017→📊 6 Artifacts→📰 Insights

📎 Cite this page

Önderol, S. (2025). Experiment Run: ENSM v4.0 — forecast_ensm_v40_20251017. Retrieved from https://renewabletransition.org/transition/experiments/forecast_ensm_v40_20251017
ENSM — forecast_ensm_v40_20251017 — Experiment | Renewable Transition